PitchBook is a Morningstar company providing the most comprehensive, most accurate, and hard-to-find data for professionals doing business in the private markets.

2023 US Private Equity Outlooks:

  • PE-led take-privates will migrate to the middle markets.
  • Aggregate PE fund returns will underperform public equity benchmarks as private market valuations continue to get marked down.
  • Sponsor-to-sponsor exits will take up a record portion of US PE exits.
  • The exit-to-investment ratio will reach a more than 15-year low.
  • US PE investment in skilled care and behavioral health providers will bounce back to a record high of more than 40 deals, excluding add-ons.
  • PE will dip below its historic share of private market fundraising, driven by demand for income over growth by discretionary investors.
  • Direct lenders will continue to dominate LBO debt markets, eventually giving way to a recovery in bank-led lending later in the year.